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  • Writer's pictureKobe Liu

#DES231 Scenario#2 Develop

Over the next 50 years, the world's growing population will force cities to transform their models comprehensively and sustainably. Nowadays, we are faced with the global problem of exhausted energy use and continuous pollution of the environment, which is very serious. Martha Thorne, dean of the IE School of Architecture and Design and executive director of the Pritzker Prize for Architecture, said the big challenge for future urban architecture is whether it can create high-density metropolises with high urban quality and provide a better quality of life for residents.



After some useful research which help me brainstorming to generate some good insights.



What if ...?


What if by 2050, our environment is so polluted that the world's cities need to move to a new model of zero carbon emissions ?


What if by 2050, global warming causes coastal cities to be largely submerged, will humans be forced to live on water or in the sky?


What if we move our living place to the sea or the sky, we still face a series of social problems such as overpopulation and a huge gap between the rich and the poor. So will the right to live in a new city be the boundary between rich and poor?






Martha Thorne says the architectural and economic aspects are essential. But beyond that, challenges and solutions need to be addressed comprehensively in the new urban model. Reducing inequality and achieving sustainability are two goals that should be pursued, but the challenge will depend on each city and its level of development.



While the situation in some big European cities may not be as tricky as in emerging countries, that could change due to factors such as an ageing population, an influx of refugees from war or natural disasters, and unemployment. Thus, a key goal in Europe is to ensure that large cities become engines of sustainable economic growth, where specific segments of the population, such as young people, can find jobs, while some developing countries, such as Colombia and India, aim to provide housing and essential services for all social classes. This aspect is critical from the housing point of view and for governance and urban strategy.



Future Timeline Forcast


According to statistics, the world's population increases by 1 billion every 12 years or so. So, what kind of city will human beings live in in the future? In 2050, our world has also undergone earth-shaking changes. The impact of the climate environment has caused some coastal cities to be submerged. In some places, the invasion of extremely high temperatures in the morning has become uninhabitable. So we have to seek a new living environment to continue our civilization. There are still places suitable for living on land, but it must also face reconstruction and design. These places must use green energy without damaging the global environment.





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